The South Lake Howard Gazette

The South Lake Howard Gazette is Florida's oldest daily magazine and one of the country's definitive political voices.
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Posts tagged "Election 2012"


Electoral maps updated routinely…

KarlRove - http://rove.com/election
Obama 221 || Romney 206
= Obama +15

JoeTrippi - http://fxn.ws/PEoLMM
Obama 237 || Romney 220
= Obama +17

Intrade - http://bit.ly/JiFMVX
Obama 290 || Romney 248
= Obama +42

Pollster - http://huff.to/LhdqPF
Obama 281 || Romney 191
= Obama +90

TPM - http://bit.ly/MsqJyp
Obama 285 || Romney 191
= Obama +94

Princeton - http://election.princeton.edu
Obama 319 || Romney 219
= Obama +100

NationalPolls - http://bit.ly/SRAhaW
Obama 313 || Romney 200
= Obama +113



RCP - http://bit.ly/IaAnpF
Obama 201 || Romney 191
= Obama +10

RCP (No TossUps) - http://bit.ly/MVCCvz
Obama 290 || Romney 248
= Obama +42

538 (Now) - http://nyti.ms/Nr4096
Obama 304 || Romney 234
= Obama +70

538 (Nov6) - http://nyti.ms/Nr4096
Obama 304 || Romney 234
= Obama +70


Maps almost never updated…

270toWin - http://j.mp/KikPAn
Obama 201 || Romney 191
= Obama +10

CNN - http://bit.ly/S5Ickv
Obama 237 || Romney 206
= Obama +31

WaPo - http://j.mp/KbQFLS
Obama 237 || Romney 206
= Obama +31

NYT - http://j.mp/LlpYUo
Obama 243 || Romney 206
= Obama +37

NPR - http://j.mp/IIeRDu
Obama 271 || Romney 206
= Obama +65


Battleground States http://nyti.ms/LVP0jq
WinProbability% (Nov6VoteShareMargin) [Now]

 Nevada……….. Obama 87/13 (+3.7) [3.7]
 Ohio…………… Obama 81/19 (+2.7) [2.7]
 Iowa………….. Obama 79/21 (+3.0) [2.9]
 New Hampshire. Obama 79/21 (+3.2) [3.2]
 Colorado……… Obama 66/34 (+1.4) [1.4]
 Virginia……….. Obama 65/35 (+1.1) [1.1]

 Florida……….. Romney 56/44 (+0.5) [0.5]
 N. Carolina….. Romney 81/19 (+2.6) [2.6]

Electoral maps updated routinely…

KarlRove - http://rove.com/election
Obama 184 || Romney 169
= Obama +15

Intrade - http://bit.ly/JiFMVX
Obama 277 || Romney 261
= Obama +16

NationalPolls - http://bit.ly/SRAhaW
Obama 273 || Romney 241
= Obama +32

TPM - http://bit.ly/MsqJyp
Obama 233 || Romney 195
= Obama +38

Princeton - http://election.princeton.edu
Obama 292 || Romney 246
= Obama +46

JoeTrippi - http://fxn.ws/PEoLMM
Obama 237 || Romney 191
= Obama +46

Pollster - http://huff.to/LhdqPF
Obama 281 || Romney 206
= Obama +75


RCP - http://bit.ly/IaAnpF
Obama 201 || Romney 206
= Obama -5

RCP (No TossUps) - http://bit.ly/MVCCvz
Obama 281 || Romney 257
= Obama +24

538 (Now) - http://nyti.ms/Nr4096
Obama 287 || Romney 251
= Obama +36

538 (Nov6) - http://nyti.ms/Nr4096
Obama 290 || Romney 248
= Obama +42


Maps almost never updated…

270toWin - http://j.mp/KikPAn
Obama 201 || Romney 191
= Obama +10

NYT - http://j.mp/LlpYUo
Obama 237 || Romney 206
= Obama +31

CNN - http://bit.ly/S5Ickv
Obama 237 || Romney 191
= Obama +46

WaPo - http://j.mp/KbQFLS
Obama 255 || Romney 206
= Obama +49

NPR - http://j.mp/IIeRDu
Obama 271 || Romney 191
= Obama +80


Battleground States http://nyti.ms/LVP0jq

WinProbability% (Nov6VoteShareMargin) [Now]
 Wisconsin……… Obama 82/18 (+3.5) [+3.2]
 New Hampshire.. Obama 68/32 (+2.3) [+2.0]
 Ohio……………. Obama 71/29 (+2.0) [+1.7]
 Nevada………… Obama 74/26 (+2.4) [+2.2]
 Iowa…………… Obama 68/32 (+1.7) [+1.9]

 Colorado………. TossUp 51/49 (+0.1) [-0.1]
 Virginia………… TossUp 50/50 (+0.0) [-0.2]

 Florida…………. Romney 68/32 (+1.7) [+1.9]
 N. Carolina……. Romney 84/16 (+3.6) [+3.8]

As Republicans accuse President Barack Obama of regulating businesses right out of their ability to create jobs, a new study by Bloomberg News seems to have knocked their talking point down.

The agency reported this week that President Obama has written even fewer business regulations than George W. Bush did when he was president, and Obama’s regulations aren’t as costly as those written by Bush Sr.

The costs of complying with Obama’s regulations, however, is slightly over the costs leveraged by prior administrations’ regulatory efforts, but not by much. Bloomberg estimated that Obama’s rules cost just “three one-hundredths of a percent of the total economy.”

The study also found that the costs for compliance have gone up mostly due to monetary inflation, and not because of additional burdens placed on companies.

Overall, in his first three years, Obama has approved 613 new federal rules, while Bush approved 643.

Bloomberg News’s figures do not take into account cost savings from the benefits of regulations, such as fewer health issues arising from cleaner air and water, or fewer automobile accidents from safer roadways.

Republican presidential debate audiences, what with their cheering executions and telling the uninsured to just go and die already, sure are great, aren’t they? At tonight’s Fox News/Google debate in Florida, the crowd stuck with tradition by booing a gay soldier who’d asked about the “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” repeal. Come for the booing, stay for Rick Santorum equating being gay to “sex.”

Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum no doubt dislikes that he isn’t topping any recent polls of the 2012 field, but he may dislike the thing that tops search results of his name even more. And now, he’s asking search giant Google to do something about it.

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I’m Warren Buffett’s Secretary

Warren Buffett doesn’t think his secretary should pay a higher percentage of income in taxes than he does, and most Americans agree. Tell Congress it’s time for millionaires and billionaires to pay their fair share!

Ed Rollins, former campaign manager and current “informal adviser” to Rep. Michele Bachmann, told MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell moments ago that Bachmann doesn’t have the “ability or the resources” to go beyond Iowa.

Rollins stopped working for the campaign day-to-day earlier this month in a staff shakeup, and criticized her comments on the HPV vaccine last week.

A new Magellan Strategies survey in Pennsylvania finds President Obama comfortably leading potential Republican challengers Mitt Romney by 50% to 40%, and Rick Perry by 52% to 37%.

Incidentally, this is the critical swing state where Governor Tom Corbett is trying some funny business to give the GOP a whopping advantage. [NYT]

Meghan McCain: Supporting Rick Perry (George W. Bush 2.0) is the Surest Way to Reelect Obama

When the initial buzz about Rick Perry started getting louder and louder this summer, I asked a friend of mine, who is a longtime veteran of Republican politics, what I should expect from the Texas governor who was trying to become our party’s next nominee for president. The response was quick and to the point: “Rick Perry is George Bush on crack, just wait.” So far, I don’t necessarily agree that Rick Perry is George Bush on crack, but he could definitely be described as George Bush 2.0. He is also a phenomenon that has quickly attracted intense interest and high poll numbers that continue to climb (he is currently, in most polls, the Republican frontrunner). All of it, I quite frankly do not understand. I feel like a character in “The Emperor’s New Clothes,” but instead of pointing out that the emperor isn’t wearing any clothes, I am pointing out that this person is in every way unelectable on a national scale.

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Been There… Done That!

Republicans give Rick Perry frontrunner status in their party’s presidential primary race even as warning signs flash over his ability to win support in the general election.

The Texas governor is the preferred choice of 26 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in a Bloomberg National Poll conducted Sept. 9-12. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney places second at 22 percent, while all of the other Republican candidates get less than 10 percent.

In a hypothetical general election matchup, Perry trails President Barack Obama among the poll’s entire sample, 49 percent to 40 percent, about twice the deficit for Romney. Perry also confronts negative reactions from Americans disinclined to vote for a candidate expressing the skepticism he has about the viability of Social Security, evolution science and whether humans contribute to climate change.

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